Saturday, 24 September 2011

Elliottware analysis: the Contrarian way of machine learning analysis of Elliott Waves

This is another analytical tool for the trader. I have a group about this approach of the Elliott Wave analysis. This approach is completely different from the common Elliott wave applications. The common Elliott wave software and applications are trying to put the market action in a set of predetermined rigid rules. This is quite the opposite we are using manual Elliott Wave count or even we do not need to count the waves. What we need to do is to identify segments. And in those segments we are going to use a predictive software. Unfortunately this is not a grail because many things are not in the price, e.g. accumulation of open orders. http://beathespread.com/groups/profile/77/elliottware-machine-learning-extension-of-elliott-wave-princip...

Sunday, 18 September 2011

New Project

I have a new project. This is not really a forum. This is trader's social network. You are welcome to join the party. http://beathespread.c...

Monday, 1 November 2010

Daily Swing Strategy

This strategy is somewhat between the intra - day strategies and the Trend following strategies.I include this strategy here because it is traded intra - normally.I will insert just one screen shot. This is intra - day swing strategy. It is a huge error to try to scalp with this.It is difficult to say at what time frame we are going to look for daily swings. Normally it is between the 30 m. and 15 m. time frame.The 1 h time frame is quite big and can be used in some conditions as a pronounced trend. Normally we use the 1 h time frame for an entry for the real swing trades and not for intra -day but every one has to apply common sense and act according to the situation. The 5 m time frame is too quick for a swing strategies. But sometimes with...

Thursday, 28 October 2010

Anti-persistent movement anticipation system (AMA)

This system is opposed to the Persistent Movement Following system (PMF).Condition:15m time frame: FGDI Blue30 m time frame: FGDI BlueThe market us usually range bound and we have to use a system for range.There are many choices. Often Oscillators are used and everyone has its favorite.From the classical oscillators my choices are:-TRIX (this is a good oscillator)-Normalized SSA (after a major work on Forex TSD we have end - pointed non repainting SSA)-John Ehler's Oscillators from his book of Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures. (this is a classic, it is a big pleasure to read his books and his insights about oscillators)In those market conditions it is a good choice to make a use of the Bollinger Bands. Usually I prefer two bands. One is a classical of 20 time period and one larger...

Persistent Movement Following (PMF) System

This system has nothing to do with the normal trend following system.1. The normal trend following systemThe normal trend following system normally requires to follow the trend on a bigger frame and make a precise timing on a lower time frame. This is a basis of the classic trend following system.The most common implementation is to have a moving average, oscillator and multi-time frame analysis. Normally people with basic knowledge should understand what I mean.For example if we use the moving average and the oscillator on one time frame often the moving average has a larger time period to take into account the trend on the bigger frame, or if we have a moving average on a larger period and an oscillator on a lower generally the moving average has a shorter time period.Traders are trying...

Monday, 25 October 2010

Fractal dimension Break-out and Break-in

As Bollinger says it is always better to ask the market what is going on than trying to predict it.Ok let see some examples with this fractal dimension method of analysis. We are going to use the FGDI to identify fractal break-outs and break-ins.Fractal break-outI have explained what means a fractal break-out (a transition of the FGDI from blue to red or from red to blue).Fractal break-inA fractal break-in means when we are in red the FGDI goes further into red territory. That means that the movement being persistent gets more persistent. In fact those are the sweetest opportunities we can get from the FGDI. The danger of the black noiseA black noise phenomenon. The black noise is frequent in the Forex market. It can be described as a radical...

Saturday, 23 October 2010

Fractal Break - out trading system

The first system I will develop on this blog is the break - out trading system.In fact this intra-day strategy is well known and is used every day by the professional traders. It is the the same system or almost, because we are going to introduce some new techniques.Why by the professional traders? The explanation is simple, in fact to use this strategy you have to be at the computer terminal and to wait for the proper conditions to happen. Everything is played in seconds and if you miss your entry you miss your day.The second reason is that break - outs often occur in the beginning of the European session and at the opening of the US session. Well during those times it is the day work of the professional traders. They are there and they are...

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